![]() ![]() Math Activity #2: Exponential Decay and Ending the Pandemic Why do you think this is the case? Is the model still useful? The model is not an exact fit to the data. ![]() Box famously said, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” Look at the model and the data. Then, you will use these models to explore different end-of-pandemic scenarios and the potential to reach herd immunity.ĭo you believe an exponential growth model is appropriate for modeling the initial spread of Covid-19? Justify using the graphics above. In this lesson, you will use the mathematical concepts of exponential growth and exponential decay to explain the spread and slowdown of the coronavirus. If all goes well, current trends may foreshadow the end of the pandemic. According to experts, this is welcome news. With the development and uptake of highly effective Covid-19 vaccines, we are now beginning to see the mathematical cousin of exponential growth - exponential decay - take over Covid case trends. When the coronavirus came to the United States over a year ago, we developed a new mantra: “ Flatten the curve.” The goal was to stem the runaway exponential growth in infections, in that way preventing hospitals from becoming overrun. Lesson Overviewįeatured article: “The Math That Explains the End of the Pandemic” high schools can get free digital access to The New York Times until Sept. ![]()
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